Viking
vs
Kristiansund BK
Model Forecast
Test version: this model is still being evaluated and is not trusted as a ScoreCast Pick or confidence signal.
Projected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match probabilities
Viking are the model's most likely winner at 75.3%, with a clearer model edge and slightly favors both teams to score.
Probability matrix
Rows: home goals · Columns: away goals
| H\A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 7.4% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 2 | 10.0% | 9.0% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 3 | 9.0% | 8.1% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 4 | 6.1% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Experimental probabilities derived from team performance and market expectations. They are not bookmaker odds or a betting recommendation.
Viking -1.75
Shown for testing only. This model assessment is not trusted as a selection or confidence signal.
This market is outside the current Value Engine coverage. The selection reflects the broader match analysis rather than a validated pricing edge.
Why?
This market is not supported by the current Value Engine.
Odds are valid as of September 10, 2026, 21:50 CET.
Positive value requires at least a 2 percentage-point probability edge, 5% expected value and the same odds snapshot.
Injuries & Suspensions
- Viking: A. Baertelsen (Foot Injury), V. Berisha (Thigh Injury), S. Bjorshol (Injury), J. Daland (Red Card), M. Roseth (Knee Injury), A. Baertelsen (Foot Injury), V. Berisha (Thigh Injury), S. Bjorshol (Injury), J. Daland (Red Card)
- Kristiansund BK: I. H. Aalberg (Groin Injury), J. Isaksen (Injury), S. Svendsen (Injury)
Form (Last 5)
- Home: W W L W D
- Away: L W L D W
H2H (Last 5)
- 2026-05-24 · Kristiansund BK · 1-2 · Viking
- 2025-05-25 · Kristiansund BK · 0-1 · Viking
- 2025-04-10 · Viking · 3-1 · Kristiansund BK
- 2025-03-07 · Viking · 5-2 · Kristiansund BK
- 2024-11-10 · Kristiansund BK · 0-1 · Viking
Match Preview
Viking head into this home fixture as one of the division’s most reliable teams, sitting second in the table and backing that position with 14 wins from 19 matches. Their home record is particularly imposing, and they have repeatedly shown the ability to dictate matches from the first whistle. Kristiansund BK, meanwhile, have spent much of the campaign fighting consistency, with 5 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses leaving them far more exposed when the game opens up.
The head-to-head record also favours Viking. They have already beaten Kristiansund twice this season and have generally had the upper hand in recent meetings, including a 2-1 league win earlier in the year and a controlled 3-1 success last season. That matters here because it shows Viking are not just the stronger side on paper; they have also been more effective in this pairing.
Viking’s attacking numbers are a major factor. Their home scoring rate is excellent, and they have been particularly productive across the season, which makes a multi-goal margin a realistic expectation when they control territory. Kristiansund have had enough attacking moments to avoid being completely written off, but their away results and defensive record suggest they can be stretched by a side with Viking’s pace and structure.
The model forecast adds a useful layer: Viking are clearly favoured for the win, but BTTS is more plausible than a clean-sheet scenario. That fits the recent pattern and the fact that Kristiansund have enough forward threat to nick a goal if Viking’s match becomes open. Still, the home side’s superiority in overall quality, form and historical matchup points toward a comfortable result rather than a narrow escape.
ScoreCast Pick
Viking -1.75 • Odds 1.78 • Confidence 8/10
Odds are valid as of September 10, 2026, 21:50 CET.