Sarpsborg 08 FF
vs
KFUM Oslo
Model Forecast
Test version: this model is still being evaluated and is not trusted as a ScoreCast Pick or confidence signal.
Projected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match probabilities
Sarpsborg 08 FF are the model's most likely winner at 58.2%, with a clearer model edge and slightly favors both teams to score.
Probability matrix
Rows: home goals · Columns: away goals
| H\A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.5% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 9.0% | 9.9% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 9.0% | 9.9% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 6.0% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 3.0% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Experimental probabilities derived from team performance and market expectations. They are not bookmaker odds or a betting recommendation.
KFUM Oslo +1
Shown for testing only. This model assessment is not trusted as a selection or confidence signal.
This market is outside the current Value Engine coverage. The selection reflects the broader match analysis rather than a validated pricing edge.
Why?
This market is not supported by the current Value Engine.
Odds are valid as of September 17, 2026, 15:51 CET.
Positive value requires at least a 2 percentage-point probability edge, 5% expected value and the same odds snapshot.
Injuries & Suspensions
- Sarpsborg 08 FF: F. Carstensen (Injury), F. Carstensen (Injury)
- KFUM Oslo: A. Aleesami (Groin Injury), P. Meliga (Inactive), D. Schneider (Yellow Cards), M. Grodem (Injury), R. Rasch (Injury), T. Soras (Injury), A. Aleesami (Groin Injury), P. Meliga (Inactive), D. Schneider (Yellow Cards), M. Grodem (Injury)
Form (Last 5)
- Home: L L D D D
- Away: W D L L W
H2H (Last 5)
- 2026-04-26 · KFUM Oslo · 1-0 · Sarpsborg 08 FF
- 2025-10-25 · Sarpsborg 08 FF · 2-1 · KFUM Oslo
- 2025-04-21 · KFUM Oslo · 1-3 · Sarpsborg 08 FF
- 2025-02-23 · KFUM Oslo · 1-1 · Sarpsborg 08 FF
- 2024-11-03 · KFUM Oslo · 1-2 · Sarpsborg 08 FF
Match Preview
Sarpsborg 08 FF meet KFUM Oslo in a Norwegian league game that carries more weight in the table than the clubs’ contrasting recent spells might suggest. Sarpsborg’s season has been mixed, but they remain the better-balanced side in this matchup and come into the fixture with a stronger overall profile than KFUM.
The head-to-head record is a major factor. Sarpsborg have already beaten KFUM this season and have generally had the better of this fixture in recent competitive meetings. That history matters because the matchup tends to suit Sarpsborg’s ability to create more attacking pressure and force the game into their preferred rhythm.
KFUM’s recent form is not disastrous, but they have been fragile away from home and their injury list is more disruptive. A. Aleesami is out, while P. Meliga and D. Schneider are also unavailable, and there are further doubts over M. Grodem, R. Rasch and T. Soras. That kind of uncertainty can blunt a side that already needs to stay compact for long stretches.
Sarpsborg also have their own absence to manage with F. Carstensen missing, yet the broader balance still points to them. The model is clear enough on the shape of the game, favouring a home win and projecting Sarpsborg with the higher scoring expectation. That aligns with the idea that they can make the difference in open play rather than rely on a single moment.
KFUM may compete and keep things respectable for periods, but their defensive record and away vulnerability make it difficult to trust them against a better-placed opponent. Sarpsborg should have the tools to take control without needing to be spectacular.
With that in mind, the locked ScoreCast Pick is Sarpsborg 08 FF win.
ScoreCast Pick
KFUM Oslo +1 • Odds 1.80 • Confidence 6/10
Odds are valid as of September 17, 2026, 15:51 CET.