Petrolul Ploiesti
vs
Rapid
Model Forecast
Test version: this model is still being evaluated and is not trusted as a ScoreCast Pick or confidence signal.
Projected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match probabilities
Rapid are the model's most likely winner at 43.6%, although the forecast remains competitive, with the BTTS outlook finely balanced.
Probability matrix
Rows: home goals · Columns: away goals
| H\A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.1% | 12.2% | 8.3% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 9.5% | 12.9% | 8.7% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| 2 | 5.0% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Experimental probabilities derived from team performance and market expectations. They are not bookmaker odds or a betting recommendation.
Rapid win
Shown for testing only. This model assessment is not trusted as a selection or confidence signal.
No significant pricing edge was detected for this selection at the recorded odds.
Why?
- Model probability
- 43.6%
- Model fair odds
- 2.29
- Available odds
- 2.10
- Expected value
- -8.4%
Odds are valid as of August 19, 2026, 07:22 CET.
Positive value requires at least a 2 percentage-point probability edge, 5% expected value and the same odds snapshot.
Form (Last 5)
- Home: W L L W W
- Away: W D W D L
H2H (Last 5)
- 2026-02-06 · Rapid · 1-1 · Petrolul Ploiesti
- 2025-09-27 · Petrolul Ploiesti · 0-1 · Rapid
- 2024-11-29 · Rapid · 1-1 · Petrolul Ploiesti
- 2024-07-29 · Petrolul Ploiesti · 1-0 · Rapid
- 2023-12-15 · Petrolul Ploiesti · 0-0 · Rapid
Match Preview
Petrolul Ploiesti meet Rapid in a Liga I contest that looks tighter than the away win tag alone might suggest. The recent form picture is respectable on both sides: Petrolul have recorded 3 wins and 2 losses, while Rapid arrive with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss. That suggests two teams with enough structure to stay in the game, even if the momentum tilts slightly toward Rapid.
Head-to-head meetings also point to a competitive fixture rather than a one-way affair. The teams drew 1-1 in February, the previous two encounters at Petrolul’s ground produced a 1-0 home win for Petrolul and a 0-0 draw, and another 1-1 came before that at Rapid’s stadium. There is very little in that sample to imply a rout on either side, and that should temper expectations for a decisive outcome.
The standings add another layer. Petrolul sit just above Rapid on points after five matches, but the difference is marginal and the table suggests both clubs are operating in the same band of performance. Neither side is carrying a major injury list into the match, which helps preserve the balance and should keep this tactically honest.
Rapid’s case rests on the steadier overall projection. They have the slightly better away profile in the model, and their attack is expected to edge the match in chances rather than dominate it. The most likely scores sit in the 1-1, 0-1 and 1-0 range, which is exactly the kind of spread that explains why this fixture feels so fine-grained.
That does not mean Rapid cannot leave with the points. It does mean they will probably need patience, defensive discipline and a sharp moment at the right time. Petrolul are capable of making the contest awkward, especially at home, but Rapid’s consistency over the opening stretch gives them the best chance of controlling the result.
ScoreCast Pick
Rapid win • Odds 2.10 • Confidence 6/10
Odds are valid as of August 19, 2026, 07:22 CET.