Mjallby AIF
vs
Djurgardens IF
Model Forecast
Test version: this model is still being evaluated and is not trusted as a ScoreCast Pick or confidence signal.
Projected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match probabilities
Djurgardens IF are the model's most likely winner at 50.3%, with a clearer model edge and slightly favors both teams to score.
Probability matrix
Rows: home goals · Columns: away goals
| H\A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.2% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 6.3% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| 2 | 3.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| 3 | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Experimental probabilities derived from team performance and market expectations. They are not bookmaker odds or a betting recommendation.
Djurgardens IF win
Shown for testing only. This model assessment is not trusted as a selection or confidence signal.
No significant pricing edge was detected for this selection at the recorded odds.
Why?
- Model probability
- 50.3%
- Model fair odds
- 1.99
- Available odds
- 1.80
- Expected value
- -9.5%
Odds are valid as of September 1, 2026, 11:41 CET.
Positive value requires at least a 2 percentage-point probability edge, 5% expected value and the same odds snapshot.
Injuries & Suspensions
- Mjallby AIF: T. Stavitski (Inactive), T. Stavitski (Inactive)
Form (Last 5)
- Home: D L L W L
- Away: W L L W W
H2H (Last 5)
- 2026-08-31 · Djurgardens IF · 4-0 · Mjallby AIF
- 2025-08-17 · Mjallby AIF · 1-1 · Djurgardens IF
- 2025-05-15 · Djurgardens IF · 1-3 · Mjallby AIF
- 2025-02-02 · Mjallby AIF · 1-2 · Djurgardens IF
- 2024-09-15 · Djurgardens IF · 1-1 · Mjallby AIF
Match Preview
Djurgardens IF go to Mjallby with the stronger league profile and the better recent head-to-head record. They sit well above their hosts in the table and have been far more convincing over the season, while Mjallby’s patchier form leaves them looking vulnerable against a side with more consistent attacking threat.
Mjallby’s recent run is hard to dress up: 5 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses suggests a team that can compete, but not reliably control matches. Djurgardens’ 10 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses is a much stronger base, especially for an away side that knows how to win on the road. That advantage is reinforced by the latest meeting between these clubs, when Djurgardens won 4-0 only a few days ago. That result will not repeat itself every time, but it does underline the gap in current levels.
Mjallby do have home-ground familiarity, and they will hope to make this more physical and less comfortable for the visitors. Yet Djurgardens have already shown they can deal with this matchup in a decisive way. Even earlier meetings have tended to favour them, with another away win and a draw standing out in the recent sequence. Mjallby’s only realistic route is to slow the tempo and keep the game narrow; if it opens up, Djurgardens carry the superior tools.
There are injury concerns on the home side too, with T. Stavitski listed as questionable, which slightly trims their options. The model sees goals on both sides as plausible, but the stronger read is that Djurgardens’ quality should tell over 90 minutes. They are the likelier winners, and the locked ScoreCast Pick is Djurgardens IF win.
ScoreCast Pick
Djurgardens IF win • Odds 1.80 • Confidence 7/10
Odds are valid as of September 1, 2026, 11:41 CET.