Lyngby
vs
Silkeborg
Model Forecast
Test version: this model is still being evaluated and is not trusted as a ScoreCast Pick or confidence signal.
Projected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match probabilities
Lyngby are the model's most likely winner at 50.3%, with a clearer model edge and slightly favors both teams to score.
Probability matrix
Rows: home goals · Columns: away goals
| H\A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.3% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 7.9% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 2 | 7.3% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 4.5% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 5 | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Experimental probabilities derived from team performance and market expectations. They are not bookmaker odds or a betting recommendation.
Lyngby win
Shown for testing only. This model assessment is not trusted as a selection or confidence signal.
No significant pricing edge was detected for this selection at the recorded odds.
Why?
- Model probability
- 50.3%
- Model fair odds
- 1.99
- Available odds
- 1.85
- Expected value
- -6.9%
Odds are valid as of September 17, 2026, 15:51 CET.
Positive value requires at least a 2 percentage-point probability edge, 5% expected value and the same odds snapshot.
Injuries & Suspensions
- Lyngby: O. Snorre (Knee Injury), O. Snorre (Knee Injury)
- Silkeborg: A. Busch (Ankle Injury), M. Jonsson (Coach's decision), K. Kirkegaard (Injury), M. Oxenberg (Injury), P. Rodin (Knee Injury), A. Busch (Ankle Injury), M. Jonsson (Coach's decision), K. Kirkegaard (Injury), M. Oxenberg (Injury), P. Rodin (Knee Injury)
Form (Last 5)
- Home: D L D W D
- Away: L L D D D
H2H (Last 5)
- 2025-04-27 · Lyngby · 2-0 · Silkeborg
- 2025-04-06 · Silkeborg · 2-1 · Lyngby
- 2025-03-09 · Silkeborg · 0-1 · Lyngby
- 2024-09-29 · Lyngby · 2-2 · Silkeborg
- 2023-12-03 · Lyngby · 2-0 · Silkeborg
Match Preview
Lyngby and Silkeborg meet in a Superliga fixture that looks finely balanced on paper, but the little details lean the home side’s way. Both teams arrive with the same recent return of 1 win, 4 draws and 3 losses, which tells you neither has been putting together a decisive run. That shared inconsistency makes this a game where structure and familiarity could matter more than momentum.
Lyngby’s case is strengthened by the venue and the head-to-head record. They beat Silkeborg 2-0 in the most recent meeting at Lyngby Stadion, and they also took a 1-0 win in an earlier home-and-away clash. Silkeborg have still had their moments in this rivalry, but the recent results suggest Lyngby know how to make this matchup uncomfortable for them on their own turf.
The league table also adds context. Both clubs sit on seven points after eight matches, but Lyngby’s goal difference is slightly healthier, which fits the sense that they have been marginally more solid even without being especially explosive. Silkeborg arrive with several absences, including A. Busch, K. Kirkegaard, M. Oxenberg and P. Rodin, and that thinner squad depth could matter in a contest likely to be decided by one or two key moments.
The broader numbers point to a competitive game rather than a one-sided one. The model gives Lyngby a narrow edge, while the score profile also suggests a match where the home side can control enough of the action without needing a runaway performance. Silkeborg are capable of competing, but their injury list and the recent history at this ground make the hosts the more dependable choice.
Expect a tense, low-margin Superliga battle, with Lyngby just about having the edge when it matters most: Lyngby win.
ScoreCast Pick
Lyngby win • Odds 1.85 • Confidence 6/10
Odds are valid as of September 17, 2026, 15:51 CET.