Hammarby FF
vs
BK Hacken
Model Forecast
Test version: this model is still being evaluated and is not trusted as a ScoreCast Pick or confidence signal.
Projected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match probabilities
Hammarby FF are the model's most likely winner at 62.2%, with a clearer model edge and slightly favors both teams to score.
Probability matrix
Rows: home goals · Columns: away goals
| H\A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 7.5% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 8.4% | 9.7% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 6.3% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 5 | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Experimental probabilities derived from team performance and market expectations. They are not bookmaker odds or a betting recommendation.
Hammarby FF -1
Shown for testing only. This model assessment is not trusted as a selection or confidence signal.
This market is outside the current Value Engine coverage. The selection reflects the broader match analysis rather than a validated pricing edge.
Why?
This market is not supported by the current Value Engine.
Odds are valid as of August 7, 2026, 08:06 CET.
Positive value requires at least a 2 percentage-point probability edge, 5% expected value and the same odds snapshot.
Injuries & Suspensions
- Hammarby FF: S. Kone (Knee Injury), S. Kone (Knee Injury)
- BK Hacken: E. Berisha (Back Injury), B. Engdahl (Injury), F. Ohman (Shoulder Injury), E. Berisha (Back Injury), B. Engdahl (Injury), F. Ohman (Shoulder Injury)
Form (Last 5)
- Home: L W W W D
- Away: L L W D D
H2H (Last 5)
- 2026-06-24 · BK Hacken · 1-4 · Hammarby FF
- 2026-05-31 · BK Hacken · 3-2 · Hammarby FF
- 2025-09-21 · Hammarby FF · 4-0 · BK Hacken
- 2025-04-27 · BK Hacken · 1-1 · Hammarby FF
- 2024-09-26 · Hammarby FF · 2-0 · BK Hacken
Match Preview
Hammarby return to league action in a strong position, and the table gives them the kind of authority that matters in a midseason test. They sit second, only behind Sirius, while BK Hacken are fourth and still firmly in the chase. That means this is not a mismatch, but Hammarby have the better home platform and the more convincing overall case when the two sides meet in Stockholm.
The recent head-to-head record also favours the hosts. Hammarby beat Hacken 4-0 in one of the latest league meetings, and they followed that with a 4-1 success in a friendly. Hacken have had their own moments, including a 3-2 league win at home, so this is not a one-way rivalry, but Hammarby’s more recent emphatic results stand out. That kind of evidence is useful because it points to a side capable of controlling the fixture rather than merely edging it.
Both teams have injury concerns, though Hacken’s list appears longer, with E. Berisha, B. Engdahl and F. Ohman all unavailable alongside Hammarby’s S. Kone. Even so, Hammarby’s league form and home advantage still make them the side more likely to dictate tempo and territory. The projected scoring balance suggests chances at both ends, which is hardly surprising given Hacken’s quality in attack, but Hammarby have shown they can turn this matchup into a comfortable one when they get on top early.
The only caution is that Hacken are rarely passive, so asking for a multi-goal margin is a stronger stance than a simple home win. Still, the combination of league standing, recent H2H dominance, and home advantage makes Hammarby the more persuasive side to back.
ScoreCast Pick
Hammarby FF -1 • Odds 1.78 • Confidence 7/10
Odds are valid as of August 7, 2026, 08:06 CET.