Grasshoppers
vs
FC Sion
Model Forecast
Test version: this model is still being evaluated and is not trusted as a ScoreCast Pick or confidence signal.
Projected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match probabilities
FC Sion are the model's most likely winner at 51.5%, with a clearer model edge and slightly favors both teams to score.
Probability matrix
Rows: home goals · Columns: away goals
| H\A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 5.3% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| 2 | 3.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| 3 | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Experimental probabilities derived from team performance and market expectations. They are not bookmaker odds or a betting recommendation.
Grasshoppers or Draw
Shown for testing only. This model assessment is not trusted as a selection or confidence signal.
No significant pricing edge was detected for this selection at the recorded odds.
Why?
- Model probability
- 48.5%
- Model fair odds
- 2.06
- Available odds
- 1.91
- Expected value
- -7.3%
Odds are valid as of September 13, 2026, 11:54 CET.
Positive value requires at least a 2 percentage-point probability edge, 5% expected value and the same odds snapshot.
Form (Last 5)
- Home: L L W D W
- Away: W L W W W
H2H (Last 5)
- 2026-04-06 · Grasshoppers · 0-4 · FC Sion
- 2026-02-03 · Grasshoppers · 4-3 · FC Sion
- 2025-12-13 · FC Sion · 1-0 · Grasshoppers
- 2025-10-19 · Grasshoppers · 0-1 · FC Sion
- 2025-05-17 · FC Sion · 2-1 · Grasshoppers
Match Preview
FC Sion arrive in Zurich with the better form line, having won five of their last seven, and they sit well above Grasshoppers in the standings. That combination matters in a league game where momentum and defensive discipline can quickly separate the sides.
Grasshoppers have been inconsistent, and their recent results reflect that uncertainty. They have enough to make spells competitive, especially at home, but they remain prone to conceding control when the opposition is sharper in transitions. Against a Sion side that is in rhythm, that can be costly.
The head-to-head record is also useful here. Sion won the most recent league meeting 4-0 at this ground, while the last few meetings have generally favoured the away side in terms of efficiency and result management. Grasshoppers did fight back in the Swiss Cup and forced extra time in one of the more dramatic encounters, but league meetings have been far less forgiving for them.
That matters because it suggests Sion are comfortable enough in this matchup to impose their structure. Grasshoppers can make a contest of it, but they have not consistently found the answers to Sion’s organisation and finishing. With no major injury issues shaping the preview, the edge comes from form, confidence and the cleaner league profile.
The model leans slightly toward an away win and also suggests goals are more likely than a locked-down, low-event game. That fits Sion’s recent trend and the head-to-head pattern, where both teams have shown they can be exposed if they lose their shape.
ScoreCast Pick
Grasshoppers or Draw • Odds 1.91 • Confidence 7/10
Odds are valid as of September 13, 2026, 11:54 CET.