Feyenoord
vs
Utrecht
Model Forecast
Test version: this model is still being evaluated and is not trusted as a ScoreCast Pick or confidence signal.
Projected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match probabilities
Feyenoord are the model's most likely winner at 67.4%, with a clearer model edge and slightly favors both teams to score.
Probability matrix
Rows: home goals · Columns: away goals
| H\A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 8.2% | 8.2% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 9.7% | 9.7% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 7.6% | 7.6% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Experimental probabilities derived from team performance and market expectations. They are not bookmaker odds or a betting recommendation.
Feyenoord -1.75
Shown for testing only. This model assessment is not trusted as a selection or confidence signal.
This market is outside the current Value Engine coverage. The selection reflects the broader match analysis rather than a validated pricing edge.
Why?
This market is not supported by the current Value Engine.
Odds are valid as of September 18, 2026, 12:23 CET.
Positive value requires at least a 2 percentage-point probability edge, 5% expected value and the same odds snapshot.
Injuries & Suspensions
- Feyenoord: T. Beelen (Broken Leg), J. Bos (Knee Injury), J. Moder (Knee Injury), R. Nelson (Inactive), B. Nieuwkoop (Injury), G. Smal (Ankle Injury), T. Beelen (Broken Leg)
- Utrecht: A. Engwanda (Hamstring Injury), V. Jensen (Knee Injury), M. Jonathans (Knee Injury), N. Ohio (Knee Injury), K. Paredes (Inactive)
Form (Last 5)
- Home: D W D W W
- Away: L D L D W
H2H (Last 5)
- 2026-02-08 · Utrecht · 0-1 · Feyenoord
- 2025-10-05 · Feyenoord · 3-2 · Utrecht
- 2025-01-12 · Feyenoord · 1-2 · Utrecht
- 2024-10-27 · Utrecht · 0-2 · Feyenoord
- 2024-03-31 · Feyenoord · 4-2 · Utrecht
Match Preview
Feyenoord have been operating at a high level, and the table reflects that. They sit among the early pace-setters in the Eredivisie and have looked sharp in both chance creation and game control. Their recent record of four wins and two draws is especially impressive when paired with the heavy scoring output they have produced. Utrecht, by comparison, have been far less reliable and have conceded too many chances for comfort.
The contrast in attacking quality is a major factor. Feyenoord have been piling up goals with regularity, while Utrecht have struggled to match that output and have also been exposed defensively, particularly against stronger opponents. Injuries do nibble at Feyenoord’s depth, with several defenders and midfield options sidelined, but the core of the team remains strong enough to keep its level high. Utrecht also have absences to manage, which limits their scope to respond if Feyenoord start quickly.
The head-to-head record reinforces the same story. Feyenoord have had the better of recent meetings, including wins in Rotterdam and Utrecht, and they have often created enough to justify the scoreboard. That background matters because it suggests Utrecht know what to expect and have still struggled to contain Feyenoord’s pace and pressing. The model projects Feyenoord at around 2.35 goals and places the most likely scores in the 2-0 and 2-1 range, which aligns with the idea of sustained home control.
Utrecht can make life awkward, but Feyenoord’s form, home advantage and overall attacking momentum make them the clear side to trust.
ScoreCast Pick
Feyenoord -1.75 • Odds 1.90 • Confidence 8/10
Odds are valid as of September 18, 2026, 12:23 CET.