Bohemians 1905
vs
FK Jablonec
Model Forecast
Test version: this model is still being evaluated and is not trusted as a ScoreCast Pick or confidence signal.
Projected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match probabilities
Bohemians 1905 are the model's most likely winner at 36.8%, although the forecast remains competitive, with the BTTS outlook finely balanced.
Probability matrix
Rows: home goals · Columns: away goals
| H\A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.4% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 9.7% | 12.6% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| 2 | 6.3% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Experimental probabilities derived from team performance and market expectations. They are not bookmaker odds or a betting recommendation.
FK Jablonec win
Shown for testing only. This model assessment is not trusted as a selection or confidence signal.
No significant pricing edge was detected for this selection at the recorded odds.
Why?
- Model probability
- 36.8%
- Model fair odds
- 2.72
- Available odds
- 2.45
- Expected value
- -9.8%
Odds are valid as of August 31, 2026, 13:16 CET.
Positive value requires at least a 2 percentage-point probability edge, 5% expected value and the same odds snapshot.
Form (Last 5)
- Home: L D W D
- Away: W W W L
H2H (Last 5)
- 2026-03-27 · Bohemians 1905 · 1-1 · FK Jablonec
- 2025-12-07 · FK Jablonec · 1-0 · Bohemians 1905
- 2025-08-10 · Bohemians 1905 · 0-1 · FK Jablonec
- 2025-02-02 · FK Jablonec · 0-1 · Bohemians 1905
- 2024-08-24 · Bohemians 1905 · 1-2 · FK Jablonec
Match Preview
FK Jablonec head to Prague with the better recent form and enough consistency to justify favouritism in a game that still feels fairly even on paper. They have put together 3 wins and 1 loss in their latest run, while Bohemians 1905 arrive with 1 win, 2 draws and 1 loss. That difference is not dramatic, but in a short league sample it is enough to tilt the balance toward the visitors.
The standings add another layer. Jablonec are sitting inside the upper half of the table after a strong start, whereas Bohemians are lower down and still trying to find a sharper rhythm. That usually matters in matches like this, where one side is better equipped to dictate the tempo and the other is more dependent on moments of efficiency. Bohemians do have home advantage, but they have not yet built enough momentum to make that factor decisive.
The head-to-head record is interesting. Jablonec beat Bohemians 1-0 in their last league meeting, and they also won 1-0 and 2-1 in earlier contests. A recent friendly ended level, but the competitive meetings lean toward Jablonec finding ways to edge this matchup. That history suggests a game where margins matter and where Bohemians may find it difficult to break through if Jablonec stay organised.
There are no injury concerns to shape the picture, so the focus stays on form, table position and the matchup itself. The model’s score profile is modest rather than emphatic, with 1-1, 0-1 and 1-0 all featuring prominently, which is exactly what you would expect from two teams of similar overall level. Even so, Jablonec’s better recent output and the tighter head-to-head trend make them the more reliable side to side with.
ScoreCast Pick
FK Jablonec win • Odds 2.45 • Confidence 6/10
Odds are valid as of August 31, 2026, 13:16 CET.