BK Hacken
vs
Mjallby AIF
Model Forecast
Test version: this model is still being evaluated and is not trusted as a ScoreCast Pick or confidence signal.
Projected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match probabilities
BK Hacken are the model's most likely winner at 59.3%, with a clearer model edge and slightly favors both teams to score.
Probability matrix
Rows: home goals · Columns: away goals
| H\A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.3% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 8.8% | 9.7% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 9.0% | 9.9% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 6.2% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 3.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Experimental probabilities derived from team performance and market expectations. They are not bookmaker odds or a betting recommendation.
Mjallby AIF +1
Shown for testing only. This model assessment is not trusted as a selection or confidence signal.
This market is outside the current Value Engine coverage. The selection reflects the broader match analysis rather than a validated pricing edge.
Why?
This market is not supported by the current Value Engine.
Odds are valid as of September 9, 2026, 11:20 CET.
Positive value requires at least a 2 percentage-point probability edge, 5% expected value and the same odds snapshot.
Injuries & Suspensions
- BK Hacken: B. Engdahl (Lower-Body Injury), F. Ohman (Shoulder Injury), B. Engdahl (Lower-Body Injury), F. Ohman (Shoulder Injury)
- Mjallby AIF: V. Dalsgaard (Injury), M. Isaksson (Inactive), T. Stavitski (Inactive), A. Samuelsen (Inactive), V. Dalsgaard (Injury), M. Isaksson (Inactive), T. Stavitski (Inactive), A. Samuelsen (Inactive)
Form (Last 5)
- Home: L W W L D
- Away: L W L L L
H2H (Last 5)
- 2026-05-17 · Mjallby AIF · 0-1 · BK Hacken
- 2026-03-27 · BK Hacken · 2-2 · Mjallby AIF
- 2025-11-09 · Mjallby AIF · 1-0 · BK Hacken
- 2025-04-12 · BK Hacken · 0-3 · Mjallby AIF
- 2025-03-08 · Mjallby AIF · 0-1 · BK Hacken
Match Preview
BK Hacken host Mjallby AIF in a meeting between a side pushing near the top end of the table and an opponent trying to stay competitive in the middle of the pack. Hacken’s season has been solid, with 8 wins, 8 draws and 4 losses, and they sit fourth in the Allsvenskan after 20 games. Mjallby have been more uneven, with 5 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses, which leaves them with more work to do against higher-level opposition.
The home team’s challenge is that Mjallby have already shown they can frustrate Hacken. The recent head-to-heads include a 1-0 away win for Hacken, a 2-2 friendly draw, a Mjallby home win, and a Hacken away win by 3-0 in league play. So while Hacken are the better side on balance, this is not a fixture that automatically turns into a rout. Mjallby have enough organisation to keep things tighter than the table comparison might suggest.
Both teams have absences to manage. Hacken miss B. Engdahl and F. Ohman, while Mjallby have several issues of their own, including V. Dalsgaard, M. Isaksson, T. Stavitski and a questionable A. Samuelsen. That kind of disruption can matter in a matchup like this, especially if the underdog can keep the game within reach into the second half.
The model expects Hacken to have the edge, but it does not point to an overwhelming mismatch. That is consistent with the locked handicap selection on Mjallby, which is a more conservative way to approach a game where the hosts are stronger but the visitors can still compete. Hacken should have the better of the action, yet Mjallby’s ability to stay within the margin is a realistic angle.
ScoreCast Pick
Mjallby AIF +1 • Odds 1.78 • Confidence 7/10
Odds are valid as of September 9, 2026, 11:20 CET.